U.S. insurance carriers are challenged to reduce their exposure to loss as wildfires consume ever-larger areas of the country. While carriers have gotten better at analyzing claims, a possible new recurring pattern of headline-making wildfires, like the most recent one in Australia, could keep many carriers in a stalemate in their ability to assess, price and underwrite risks effectively.

While 2017 is regarded as one of the worst years for wildfires, 2018 proved to be even deadlier and more destructive. In 2017, fire claim severity increased by 22% as compared to 2016, while 2018 saw an increase of nearly 80% as compared to 2016 according to the LexisNexis Home Trends Report. The aggregated fire loss in 2018 is the highest we have seen in a decade. In its wake, carriers saw fire loss cost spike by 51% compared with 2017 — which itself experienced another record-breaking wildfire season. Wildfires also contributed to a 46% increase in fire severity for U.S. carriers in 2018.