Maurice Greenberg, former CEO of AIG. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)

(Bloomberg) — American International Group Inc. could fall as much as 3.5% if former Chairman Maurice “Hank” Greenberg wins a lawsuit against the U.S. tied to the insurer’s 2008 bailout, Credit Suisse Group AG said.

The estimate is based on Greenberg’s Starr International Co. having a 30% chance of winning a case in which he contends that the rescue cheated shareholders out of at least $25 billion.

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