The 2013 Atlantic hurricane forecast from the renowned duo of meteorologists at Colorado State University remains unchanged—18 named storms, nine hurricane and four major hurricanes.
Philip Klotzbach and William Gray of CSU, now in its 30th year of issuing seasonal forecasts for the Atlantic basin, continue to estimate a 72-percent chance at least one of these storms will strengthen to a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) and make landfall somewhere on the U.S. coast from Texas to Maine.
There is a 96-percent chance a hurricane of any strength will make landfall—with the usual suspects at the head of the list of landfall.
Klotzbach and Gray tag Florida with a 71 percent chance of hurricane landfall this season, followed by Texas at 50 percent, Louisiana at 47 percent, and North Carolina at 44 percent.
Wondering about another strike to the Northeast? The team says there is a 2 percent and 13 percent probability of a hurricane landfall at New Jersey and New York, respectively.
Additionally, Aon Benfield's Tropical Storm Risk calls for 16 named storms, eight hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. This is also largely unchanged from a previous forecast in April.
TRS says trade winds in the Caribbean Sea and North Atlantic are favorable for hurricanes, especially during July-September.
Warmer-than-normal seas surface temperatures—also favorable for hurricane formation—are expected to continue during the peak months of the season.
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