It's difficult to predict what the personal auto insurance market will look like by the turn of the next decade, but even conservative estimates indicate telematics and usage-based insurance (UBI) will become a catalyst for change, according to a recent Strategy Meets Action research paper.

Richard Welch, a former insurance CEO, is a guest author of the SMA report along with SMA partner Mark Breading, believes that even with just 10 percent of the market in 2020, that still means 25 million cars will be insured through some type of UBI program.

“That has strong implications for the rest of the insurance market,” says Welch. “If even 10 percent [of policyholders] move into this space it will have a significant disruptive impact on the market as a whole.”

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