Each newspaper in the country in the last week or so has issued its annual early-spring prediction of where Major League Baseball teams are going to finish this year in their respective divisions (disappointing to see a lot of fourth-place picks for the Red Sox—I'm seeing a World Series win).
Inspired by these sports writers willing to go out on a limb and fearlessly predict the future, I offer up my own predictions of some key insurance events that will come to pass between now and Game 7 of the 2012 Red Sox-Phillies World Series (as long as a very wet October pushes the season finale past the elections).
1. The Supreme Court will rule unconstitutional the individual-mandate portion of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act in a 5-4 decision. The dissenting opinions will be nasty, brutish—and long. The Obama administration and its Senate allies will try to craft a solution that uses the federal tax code to incentivize universal coverage—to get around having to rely on the commerce clause. The attempt goes nowhere in the bitterly partisan House.
Recommended For You
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free PropertyCasualty360 Digital Reader
Your access to unlimited PropertyCasualty360 content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking insurance news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Weekly Insurance Speak podcast featuring exclusive interviews with industry leaders
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical converage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, BenefitsPRO and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
© 2025 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.
