NU Online News Service, Jan. 19, 12:19 p.m. EST

The world has become a riskier place to do business as more nations were judged to have increased political perils that could adversely affect commerce, according to the latest Aon Political Risk Map.

In its 18th year of analysis, Chicago-based Aon said this year's ranking of risk showed 19 countries were downgraded, meaning political risks increased, while 11 countries received upgrades, meaning risks have improved.

Those that received downgrades were:

  • Algeria
  • Benin
  • Comoros
  • Antigua and Barbuda
  • Bahamas
  • Barbados
  • Bermuda
  • Cayman Islands
  • Dominica
  • Grenada
  • Haiti
  • Antilles
  • St Kitts and Nevis
  • St Lucia
  • St Vincent
  • Trinidad
  • Myanmar
  • Iceland
  • Bahrain

Those that were upgraded were:

  • Kenya
  • Mozambique
  • Rwanda
  • Uganda
  • Zambia
  • Panama
  • Georgia
  • Uzbekistan
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • India

The Aon map ranks nations on a six-point scale from low risk to very high risk. It measures the risk in 211 countries and territories based on the level of risks such as currency inconvertibility and exchange transfer; strikes, riots and civil commotion; war; civil war; sovereign non-payment; political interference; supply chain disruption; and legal and regulatory risk.

“The perceived or actual risk of sovereign non-payment continues to be an issue in countries across the globe,” said Beverley Marsden, associate director of Aon Risk Solutions' Crisis Management Practice, in a statement. “For example, we have seen 13 island nations move into a higher risk category this year because of the effect of a decline in tourism on their economy.”

She noted that the financial crisis impacted the economies of nations with traditionally low levels of risk and made Iceland the first Western European country to be downgraded to medium.

“This year's map also highlights the continued emergence of several markets in Africa, such as Ghana, Gabon and Nigeria, where more international trade and investment is occurring, leading to a greater need for political risk insurance cover,” she observed.

“There is good news, too. Over the past five years, the Aon Political Risk Map has seen a nearly 30 percent increase in the number of countries in the middle of the risk rankings—the medium low to medium high categories—as these countries have become more active in the world economy and their prosperity has increased,” she noted.

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