NU Online News Service Aug. 19, 3:42 p.m. EDT

Climate change could significantly increase Caribbean hurricane risk and raise annual expected losses by another 1 to 3 percent of GDP for some Caribbean countries by 2030, according to a new study.

Damage from wind, storm surge and inland flooding already amounts to 6 percent of GDP per year in some Caribbean countries, according to the study, released by the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF).

The study on the Economics of Climate Adaptation (ECA) in the Caribbean covers eight countries--Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Dominica, Jamaica and St. Lucia. It was commissioned by the CCRIF to assess the growing risks climate change poses to Caribbean economies and identify cost-effective ways to manage them.

According to the study, among the hazards considered, hurricane-induced wind damage has the largest damage potential, accounting for up to 90 percent of the overall damage. The contribution of coastal flooding and storm surge to total damage is higher in low-lying countries. In the Cayman Islands, for example, coastal flooding/storm surge accounts for about 45 percent of total damage potential.

The study also shows that many affordable adaptation measures are available to decision-makers to address the effects of climate change. The Cayman Islands, for example, could cost-effectively avoid up to 90 percent of expected losses by implementing risk mitigation initiatives such as constructing sea walls and enforcing building codes.

Insurance plays a key role in helping communities to deal with the financial consequences of severe weather events and natural disasters. In Dominica, the study indicates, only 2 percent of the calculated loss can be averted cost-effectively using risk mitigation measures, according to the study.

To address the remaining risk, it is economically more effective to buy insurance than to build more physical defenses.

Swiss Re said it provided analytical support to the project in collaboration with other public and private partners, contributing its expertise in natural catastrophe modeling and risk assessment to quantify climate risks and estimate their potential impact locally.

"The CCRIF study on the economics of adaptation exemplifies how climate adaptation works in practice," said Andreas Spiegel, Swiss Re's senior climate change adviser. "Developing countries can reduce local climate risks by combining prevention and risk transfer measures. CCRIF shows how climate risks can be transferred away from public budgets to the commercial insurance market, thus pre-financing disaster recovery efforts."

CCRIF is a risk pooling facility that is owned, operated and registered in the Caribbean for Caribbean governments. It is designed to limit the financial impact of catastrophic hurricanes and earthquakes to Caribbean governments by quickly providing short term liquidity when a policy is triggered.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free PropertyCasualty360 Digital Reader

Your access to unlimited PropertyCasualty360 content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking insurance news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Weekly Insurance Speak podcast featuring exclusive interviews with industry leaders
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical converage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, BenefitsPRO and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.