NU Online News Service
Revising its estimate upward, Eqecat catastrophe modeling firm said it now estimates economic damage from Tuesday's earthquake in Haiti to be in the low-single-digit billions of dollars.
The firm initially estimated that hundreds of millions of dollars might be involved. The Oakland, Calif.-based firm said it was increasing the figure "in light of the considerable humanitarian aid needed for recovery, in addition to the cost of reconstruction."
The cost of insurance losses is expected to be minimal with a property and casualty market in the country of just under $20 million.
Insurance penetration is extremely low at around 0.3 percent of Gross Domestic Product. The majority of Haiti's insured risks are situated in Port-au-Prince, and motor insurance accounts for 50 percent of all non-life premiums, according to Newark, Calif.-based Risk Management Solutions.
Eqecat's update said that since the 7.0 quake hit with its epicenter southwest of Port-au-Prince, there have been 43 aftershocks all occurring west of the initial shock.
Had the rupture that occurred been directed toward Port-au-Prince, the city would have experienced even more devastation, according to Eqecat.
The firm said the quake, on the Enriquillo-Plantain Garden fault system, which is oriented in the east-west direction just south of Port-au-Prince, ruptured only a portion of the fault, which increases the chances of another large earthquake in coming decades on the eastern portion of the same fault.
Eqecat explained this danger exists because stress relieved by a rupture is transferred to adjacent segments of the fault. If additional stress on the eastern segment of this fault were to trigger another earthquake, it could impact Port-au-Prince with equal or greater severity as the recent event.
The modeling firm said its catastrophe event set specifically includes earthquakes on the Enriquillo-Plantain Garden fault system.
Fatalities from this event could be in the tens of thousands, the company noted.
The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility pool that Haiti belongs to has been triggered, and CCRIF said it would provide the country with a little under $8 million.
Want to continue reading?
Become a Free PropertyCasualty360 Digital Reader
Your access to unlimited PropertyCasualty360 content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:
- Breaking insurance news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
- Weekly Insurance Speak podcast featuring exclusive interviews with industry leaders
- Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
- Critical converage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, BenefitsPRO and ThinkAdvisor
Already have an account? Sign In Now
© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.