It would appear that it's the Pacific Coast's turn to deal with a tropical storm.
According to a report by Guy-Carpenter, Tropical Storm Julio is about 30 miles west-southwest of Loreto, Mexico.
As of 5 a.m. EST on August 25, Julio is moving in a north-northwesterly direction at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and tropical storm force winds extending up to 70 miles outward from the storm center, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
This motion is expected to continue over the next two days, with a decrease in forward speed. The NHC stated that Julio is expected to weaken into a tropical depression later today, with the center of Julio forecast to move across central Baja California over the course of Monday and into the Gulf of California on Monday evening and Tuesday morning.
Reports stated that Julio hit the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula on the evening of August 24. Julio's rains drenched Mexico's Baja California on Sunday, prompting authorities to evacuate more that 2,500 families living along riverbeds near the coast. Reports added that hundreds of residents fled poor neighborhoods that were in danger of flooding near the tourist resort of Los Cabos. On Sunday, local emergency officials stated that numerous emergency shelters had been activated, but that hotels in the area remained open, with guests being cared for under the hotel's own security.
According to a statement issued by Mexico's Transport Ministry, the port at Los Cabos, a popular destination for cruise ships, was closed, but the county's major oil exporting ports remained open.
By early Monday, tropical storm warnings for the southern tip of Baja California had been
lifted, but they remained in effect further north on the peninsula's west coast from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe and along the east coast from La Paz to Mulege.
According to the NHC, Julio is forecast to drop 3 – 6 inches of rain over portions of central and southern Baja California, with the possibility of causing flash flooding in this normally parched peninsula.
For more information, visit HYPERLINK “http://www.guycarp.com/portalapp/publicsite/catdocument.pdf?instratreportid=1725″ Guy Carpenter's Instrat report.
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