Catastrophe modeling is a critical part of property underwriting, particularly as values and concentrations of insured buildings increase. But historically, companies have had to rely on proprietary vendor tools or their own development staff to provide the systems for this modeling.
Recently, however, free and publicly available mapping, geo-coding, and satellite imagery systems have put detailed property location information at the fingertips of everyone connected to the Internet–from families planning a coastal getaway to reinsurance risk managers assessing coastal flood exposure. Perhaps the best known of these systems is Google Earth. Among its most powerful features for insurers, open APIs enable companies to incorporate data from a multitude of systems and sources via mashups, rather than relying on vendors to create custom data integrations.
Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty, the international industrial insurance carrier subsidiary of the Allianz Group, had long used a variety of catastrophe modeling software. However, with the advent of hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the company realized the need to make modeling more graphical and to manage its book of business more proactively.
"We were days away from Hurricane Rita coming into Houston, and we realized we didn't have a good handle on where our insured locations were. We relied on catastrophe models from various vendors but hadn't done a lot of visual mapping," illustrates Gregg Pope, who is in charge of natural disaster risk management at Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty in Munich.
To get a better idea of the locations and concentrations of its insured risks, Allianz began using Google Earth to link satellite and aerial photos with property-specific geodata. Pope's team creates a file of the coordinates (latitudes and longitudes) of structures in Google's Keyhole Markup Language (KML). In countries where street addresses can be translated into latitude and longitude, Allianz uses geocoding software. Otherwise, the coordinates of properties need to be provided by the underwriters or risk managers requesting the file.
Allianz staff can use Google Earth's navigation controls to view any point on the globe with an average street-level resolution of 15 meters, detailed enough to identify specific buildings and review proximate hazards. On screen, Allianz-insured properties appear as green, orange, blue, or red dots linked to information on the customer, insured amounts, and potential total loss. The flexibility and open nature of the system enables Allianz to update insured location information as needed, even on an ad hoc basis.
The analyses Allianz staff perform using Google Earth complement the carrier's traditional catastrophe modeling and ultimate risk management decision-making. "Creating files for major metro areas, such as New York and London, really opened up our eyes about how much we actually have insured in those areas by giving us a graphical representation of granular-level information. It has allowed us to determine where we might have too much risk exposure and to find ways to manage that exposure," Pope says. The company also has expanded the use of Google Earth beyond underwriting. For instance, Allianz's security department recently requested a KML file of all the branch offices and property Allianz owns.
Currently, any Allianz underwriter can access Google Earth and load a KML file Pope's team provides. Future plans call for the tool to be part of an underwriting workstation that currently is under development.
Pope sees the tool's importance growing if predictions of climate change increase the volatility of risk Allianz must deal with. "If we have increased flooding risk because of climate change, we can get a good idea of where we have exposure," Pope says.
Outside the insurance sector, Google Earth is being used in long-term climate change research by government and research organizations, such as the National Snow and Ice Data Center and NASA, and in academia. "There definitely are parallels between using Google Earth for catastrophe management [in insurance] and what's being done with climate studies," notes David B. Reusch, PhD, research associate in the Earth and Environmental Sciences Institute at Pennsylvania State University. "The main benefit is getting data with geographic aspects into an easy-to-use tool, so that nonexperts can make use more effectively of complicated data."
For Allianz, the near-term benefits of flexibility and low cost will be key to ongoing expansion of the system. "We can do modeling for anywhere in the world without waiting for a commercial vendor to develop a model," Pope says. "That enables us to be more proactive than some of our competitors."
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