This year, the British foiled a terrorist plan to blow up U.S.-bound international flights, and we're thankful for that. The resulting devastation would have snuffed out thousands of lives, not to mention the fact that it would have dealt a crippling blow to the airline and travel industries.

We're also thankful that recovery efforts in New Orleans are picking up, mainly as a result of the dedication of both catastrophe and restoration experts who are laboring tirelessly throughout the Gulf region. Nearly half of the former population of New Orleans have permanently relocated to other cities, citing lack of housing and employment opportunities, but those who have remained are putting up a valiant fight to reclaim their beloved Crescent City. These brave, determined “restoration armies” deserve to be at the very top of our Thanksgiving prayer list.

And finally, we're thankful that Dr. William Gray was way off the mark this year. At the beginning of the hurricane season, the hurricane expert from Colorado State University predicted there would be 17 tropical storms in 2006 with nine turning into hurricanes packing sustained winds of 74 miles per hour or more. We actually experienced four tropical storms in the Atlantic (Alberto, Beryl, Chris, and Debby) and five hurricanes (Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, and Isaac). Cuba and Bermuda suffered the brunt of two of them, but the U.S. mainland was virtually spared this year as compared to last year.

This is a far cry from the devastation of 2005 when 28 tropical storms formed, besting the old record of 21 set in 1933. The hurricane season doesn't officially conclude until the end of this month and the experts warn that there's still the possibility of another storm before then. But they all go out on a limb, stating that it's “not probable.”

As expected, October was quiet, storm-wise, “largely due to developing El Nino conditions in the central and eastern Pacific,” offered Philip Klotzbach, who now leads Gray's research team. “November activity in El Nino years is very rare.” Now that's a comforting thought.

Art Bailey of the Tampa Bay newspaper Seminole Beacon cautions, “Do we sense a reprieve … ? No way, although cautious optimism is on the rise, even though tropical depressions continue to roll off the western coast of Africa, much like a factory assembly line, until the long-awaited factory whistle signals 'the end of the shift' come November 30. Unless, of course, 'overtime kicks in' as was the scenario last year after running the gamut of named storms and into the Greek alphabet. Hopefully this year, William won't make the cut.”

How will this non-season affect our industry, specifically the independent adjuster ranks? It remains to be seen, but the limited amount of work for them could shrink their numbers, causing a serious shortage when hurricane activity picks up again. Then again, it just might raise the collective intelligence of the field by effectively eliminating opportunistic adjusters who, lacking money-making opportunities, fall back on other career opportunities.

Want to continue reading?
Become a Free PropertyCasualty360 Digital Reader

Your access to unlimited PropertyCasualty360 content isn’t changing.
Once you are an ALM digital member, you’ll receive:

  • Breaking insurance news and analysis, on-site and via our newsletters and custom alerts
  • Weekly Insurance Speak podcast featuring exclusive interviews with industry leaders
  • Educational webcasts, white papers, and ebooks from industry thought leaders
  • Critical converage of the employee benefits and financial advisory markets on our other ALM sites, BenefitsPRO and ThinkAdvisor
NOT FOR REPRINT

© 2024 ALM Global, LLC, All Rights Reserved. Request academic re-use from www.copyright.com. All other uses, submit a request to [email protected]. For more information visit Asset & Logo Licensing.