U.S. insured losses from storms this year have a 5 percent chance of exceeding Hurricane Katrina's $38.1 billion total in 2005, a catastrophe modeling executive warned at an industry conference last week.

Karen Clark, president and chief executive officer of Boston-based AIR Worldwide, gave the forecast at a catastrophe conference in Baltimore, organized by Property Claim Services, a unit of the Jersey City-based Insurance Services Office.

Ms. Clark also predicted catastrophe losses “will double about every 10 years due to increases in the numbers and values of properties at risk,” according to ISO's report of her remarks.

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