Risk profiling, also known as risk mapping, is a technique used to analyze a firm's portfolio of risks. Innovative risk managers are using this tool as one way to identify risk exposures. The risk-profiling discipline and process gives risk managers the critical data they need in order to decide how to control, diversify, or hedge risks. One way to look at risk profiling is to view it as a visual way of depicting possible frequency and severity of organizational risks.
Nowadays, upper management expects risk managers to offer specific strategies for a continuum of uncertainties confronting organizations. Any major threat that falls within a risk manager's blind spot can be job- and career-ending, including those that come out of left-field.
To better understand risk profiling, let's view it as encompassing five distinct components:
- Risk identification. This step involves surveying the firm as a whole. Publicly available information often is helpful. In this phase, the risk manager also may try to link risks with specific business units.
- Risk assessment. The practitioner then analyzes the preceding step, using yardsticks of frequency and severity. Risk managers can do this by plotting the risk-identification outcomes on a graph — called a risk map — with frequency and severity representing the two axes.
- Risk profiling. The risk map produced in the prior stage splits into four subsections called risk families. An example of a risk family is a group of risks categorized as severe but infrequent. (Intense hurricanes or earthquakes are severe but infrequent, for example.) On a risk map with severity on the vertical axis and frequency from less to more on the horizontal axis, this cluster would be in the upper-left corner.
- Risk quantification. Risk managers can further analyze risk families by using financial modeling techniques, quantitatively estimating losses and calculating probabilities. Risk managers may need outside experts here to fully execute this step.
- Risk consolidation. Risks studied at divisional or subsidiary levels are aggregated at the corporate level.
The preceding are the steps of this risk-profiling process. They do not, however, illuminate the reasons why companies would be attracted to the technique.
Risk-Profiling Benefits
Thorough risk profiling is a key element of sound risk management. After completing a risk profile and developing a thorough risk map, risk managers can better understand how their organizational risks interact and how to address those risks. They can pursue the latter through classic risk-management tools of avoidance, retention, insurance, non-insurance contractual transfer, or loss control.
Risk managers can extract many benefits from the process of risk profiling, however. It enhances their awareness and evaluation of risks. It can identify critical contingencies and locales. It can help the decision-making process regarding which risks to manage, which to retain, and which to insure. It affords superior cost/benefit analyses regarding the price of insurance. Finally, upper management can benefit by using it as a strategic tool for optimizing a business' survival odds in the event of a crisis.
Risk profiling also gives a risk manager more bang for the buck by channeling energies into areas posing the greatest risks to the company or organization. Benefits transcend impressive-looking grids, though. Without follow-through action and execution, risk profiling is an empty exercise. Instead, risk managers must have the discipline to analyze and identify different loss exposures that organizations might face. After identification comes the hard work of formulating and executing plans to address the risks and acting on those plans. Such is the essence of risk management. Thoughtful risk profiling is a way for companies to leverage more from their efforts. It avoids a “ready — fire — aim” approach to risk management.
Boosting Enterprise Risk Management
Risk profiling helps risk managers in many ways. First, the exercise of going through it heightens an awareness and evaluation of all risks. Risk profiling helps identify critical contingencies and locations. It aids as a decision-making tool in deciding which risks to manage and which to transfer to an insurer.
Constructing risk profiles is closely related to enterprise risk management. ERM looks holistically at all organizational risks, including but not limited to, insurable risks. The discipline of constructing a risk profile advances the aim of ERM, which is to catalogue and address a comprehensive array of threats to an organization.
For busy risk managers, or those daunted by the risk-profiling process, various resources can help. Larger insurance brokerages likely offer such services. (Tip: Ask your broker if he has this expertise anywhere in his personnel depth chart.) Risk managers also can engage risk-management consultants to assist with the process. It may be money well invested.
Terry Coughlin, a CPCU-designated risk management consultant with Insurance Consulting Associates, admits that he sees few people formally mapping risk exposures. What he sees more often are practitioners tapping products like Silver Plume (www.silverplume.com), downloading checklists from web sites, and using these to identify exposures in an attempt to pass themselves off as experts. Relying on Silver Plume alone is dangerous, though, Coughlin believes. Many practitioners using technology lack the knowledge to plug the gaps that standardized checklists and templates overlook.
Other companies have developed software for risk managers who prefer to pursue the DIY route. For example, International Security Technology has a tool, CORA (Cost-of-Risk Analysis), which is a quantitative operations risk-management decision support system. Its purpose is to evaluate the return on investment/cost-benefit of proposed operations risk-management measures: threat mitigation, risk transfer, business resumption plans, and IT system recovery modes. (Interested risk managers can learn more about it by going to their web site, www.ist-usa.com.)
Is Risk Profiling Shunned?
Despite the benefits of risk profiling, many organizations welcome the practice as much as a root canal. Why do some risk managers and organizations avoid the practice? Likely, there are multiple reasons. Many companies see risk profiling as an up-front extra cost. Some process components may require specialized skills that the risk manager lacks.
Risk profiling implies that an organization may opt to avoid certain risks. However, upper management often considers risk avoidance unimportant when planning new business ventures. In some cases, upper management may perceive insurance as a necessary evil and dismiss risk mapping as a superfluous exercise. Other organizations may question its relevance to their core business, dismissing it as Chicken Little Syndrome for those who are afraid of their own shadows.
Risk mapping's benefits also can seem murky, unclear, or tough to quantify. Some components may appear arcane, requiring specialist skills. “Here comes another outside consultant! Guard the checkbook!”
Further, top management may not consider risk avoidance important when planning new ventures. Focusing on risks makes one look like a killjoy or obstructionist when the zeal is to do the deal. In some cases, upper management may feel that, because they have insurance, there is no need to do risk profiling. Insurance will take care of everything — won't it? Finally, many organizations do not see risk profiling as related to their core business, which admittedly lies not in managing risks but in manufacturing, service, etc.
Risk managers are unlikely to ever become famous through their own efforts at being a profiler. Becoming familiar with this analytical tool, however, can boost their efforts at enterprise risk management.
Kevin Quinley CPCU, AIC, ARM, is senior vice president of Medmarc Insurance Group in Chantilly, Va. He can be reached at [email protected].
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