As the legion of lawmakers makes their way to Tallahassee for the opening of the legislative session, the central issue that is expected to dominate the insurance industry is, once again, homeowners' reforms. After sustaining damage from eight storms in two years — and facing the very real possibility that the 2006 season will be just as active — lawmakers are preparing to tackle a slate of issues. Feeding that debate will be the recommendations of a number of task forces, including the Task Force on Long Term Solutions For Florida's Hurricane Insurance Market and the Standard Personal Lines Advisory Committee. And that is not to mention two other comprehensive reform packages backed by CFO Tom Gallagher and the parties on both sides of the House and Senate.
How the legislature will react to the multiple calls for reform remains to be seen. Given that this is an election year, however, it is almost certain that lawmakers will enact some set of laws as a platform to highlight their reelection campaigns. This could translate into a 300-page bill touching on every aspect of the market, or a more modest set of proposals that focus primarily on consumer issues. If the industry has its way, lawmakers would leave the homeowners' market alone.
The many debates over the state of the homeowners' market retrace and cover many well-worn paths. How many times have we heard about the need to reform Citizens Property Insurance Corporation, reconsider consumer choice, and reshuffle the deck when it comes to deductibles, building codes, and mitigation? Added to this list are newer ideas such as establishing hurricane savings accounts.
Another is the issue of global warming. The phenomenon of global warming has become a highly controversial issue from both a scientific and political perspective. While many scientists are debating still the role of industrialization on global warming, both par-ties have used it as a political tool.
Recently, scientists have calculated that glaciers in Greenland are melting twice as fast as previously calculated, which could have an immeasurable impact on sea levels. And despite rejecting the Kyoto treaty, even President George W. Bush has finally focused the country's attention on developing cleaner sources of fuel. In a strong sign of the growing concern about the potential impact of global warming, corporate America also is responding in the form of hybrid cars that run on gasoline and electricity.
Many might question why global warming should matter to the industry and what role the industry could possibly have in taking a position on the issue. The answer is that eventually it could have a wide-ranging impact on hurricane damage. Drive down any portion of Florida's coastline and you will realize that it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that higher water levels mean greater storm surges, flooding, and beach erosion. One lesson from New Orleans is that water levels can mean the difference between superficial damage and massive destruction. The impact of global warming will not be felt this year, or even the next decade. But at some point in the future, it could force coastal states to reconsider their entire approach to building and insuring risks. That is why the best minds need to be thinking about this issue now, and not when it is too late.
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