Washington–The London bombings last week underscore the fact that the terrorism risk remains and insurers in the U.S. need a federal backstop, officials at two insurance industry trade groups said today .
"The London bombings underscores that terrorism defies predictability and is an uninsurable risk that calls for government involvement," said David A. Winston, National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies (NAMIC) federal affairs senior vice president.
His comments and those of Dennis Kelly, a staff official at the American Insurance Association came amid testimony by Bush administration officials today and Thursday before a congressional committee on the recent report issued by the Treasury Department assessing the effectiveness of the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act, which expires Dec. 31.
Mr. Kelly said that while the attacks "underscore how much at risk we are," the industry hopes the hearings help Congress "gain an understanding that economic security and national security are not separate matters. A terrorist attack affects both."
Mr. Kelly explained that a plausible terrorist attack scenario shows insured losses exceeding $250 billion. "Yet commercial property-casualty insurers have approximately $169 billion of capital surplus correlated to TRIA-related coverage.
This coverage, he said, also covers losses from risks such as hurricanes and, "That is why the federal government has to play a role in providing a backstop – for the economic and national security of our nation."
NAMIC and other industry representatives have voiced concern about the tone and substance of the Treasury Report, believing it will make it more difficult to persuade Congress to extend TRIA in its present form for two years- an industry objective.
When the Treasury Report was released June 30, Robert Detlefsen, NAMIC Director of Public Policy, expressed "dismay" at the report's unduly optimistic conclusion that "over time, we expect that the private market will develop additional terrorism insurance capacity."
Mr. Detlefsen said that Treasury's expectations are based on the authors' belief the lack of available and affordable terrorism coverage caused by TRIA's expiration will "spur the buildup of surplus as insurers tap into capital markets; the development of private reinsurance and other risk-shifting mechanisms; and additional mitigation and terrorism deterrence efforts by policyholders."
The report is silent as to what the capital market solutions and "other risk-shifting mechanisms" might be, or how they would work, Mr. Detlefsen said.
As for "development of private reinsurance," that market already exists under TRIA," he said.
The Treasury report acknowledges that primary insurers' deductibles under TRIA have steadily risen to several billion dollars in the case of some large insurers.
Mr. Detlefsen said that reinsures could theoretically offer coverage for these deductibles, but few have done so because they lack the capacity for covering the risk.
Mr. Detlefsen said that the large deductibles under TRIA have likewise created–again, in theory–a demand for the creation of capital market risk-bearing instruments such as terrorism-related catastrophe bonds. "To date, however, only two such bonds have been issued, but both are multi-peril bonds rather than pure terrorism bonds tailored to a specific type of attack," he said.
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