The 2023 hurricane season is tracking to be slightly below average, according to the first estimate from hurricane and tropical weather researchers at Colorado State University.
CSU's 2023 estimate projects 13 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. The average for 1991-2020 has been 14.4 named storms, 7.2 two hurricanes and 3.2 major hurricanes. Activity is expected to be around 80% of what is seen in an average season.
The probability of a major hurricane making landfall somewhere along the U.S. coastline is 44%, while the U.S. East Coast — including the Florida peninsula — has a 22% probability of seeing a major hurricane. The Gulf Coast, from the Florida panhandle to Brownsville county, has a 28% chance of seeing a major hurricane make landfall, CSU reported.
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